Near-Term 24-Month Execution Block
The first 24 months are not a simple countdown to first steel. They are a multi-front execution block that has to stand up engineering, yards, logistics, contracting, workforce, and cleanup at the same time so the later build schedule is real rather than aspirational.
Months 0-6: program standup, engineering start, and site-control actions
- Fleet engineering start: convert concepts into true naval architecture and engineering packages for FFG, DDG, and CAG, including hull form, weight growth, machinery arrangement, power architecture, combat-space layout, and fallback-system baselines.
- Yard engineering start: begin real design work for GOCO yards, GOGO lane additions, COCO upgrade packages, module-campus layouts, rail and utility corridors, drydock changes, pier plans, shops, and training annexes.
- Governance cell: stand up the joint team that works with Congress, governors, the Navy, DLA, state agencies, and federal departments to carry funding, authorities, land control, and permitting through the opening phase.
- Executive-action path: identify where executive orders, emergency authorities, defense-production tools, and expedited federal decisions are required to cut red tape and start work while preserving legal controls.
- Cleanup baseline: launch hazmat and environmental surveys, remediation sequencing, and parallel construction controls so cleanup and yard activation can run together rather than one after the other.
Months 6-12: RFP wave, design narrowing, and state activation package
- Ship-design RFP and review gates: down-select core design teams for the three hulls and force every class to mature against cost, weight, schedule, and fallback-system rules.
- New-tech RFP wave: issue separate contractor lanes for pods, Trinion gun system, battery packaging, DMC spaces, module-interface standards, Cerberus variants, and other new-tech items that need design, prototype, and test effort.
- Yard tenant RFP path: begin solicitations for contractors that will lease and operate GOCO yards, module campuses, and selected DLA-connected support spaces once activation gates are met.
- Governor and state package: execute the funding-and-siting campaign with governors, legislatures, development authorities, labor, schools, and local institutions so campuses, training annexes, and utility corridors can move on synchronized terms.
- Academy and schooling setup: establish workforce academies, union/trade pipelines, community-college partnerships, veteran-transition lanes, and yard-specific training plans before the heavy hiring wave begins.
Months 12-18: detailed design, DLA expansion, and construction launch
- Detailed engineering: push the lead hull and common-shipset packages toward real buildable design maturity rather than concept-only drawings.
- DLA expansion block: grow the procurement and storage plan for steel, generators, turbines, boats, vehicles, sensors, module interfaces, and long-lead shipsets so material is in hand before yard demand peaks.
- Supply-route design: lock the delivery logic for module campuses, major yards, depots, road/rail/barge corridors, and reserve storage so DLA can stage against the production sequence.
- Construction while cleaning: begin yard buildout in cleared zones while cleanup continues in controlled phases elsewhere on the same site under milestone gates and environmental reporting.
- Community and environmental integration: keep environmental agencies, local organizations, and redevelopment stakeholders inside the execution loop so cleanup and construction remain politically sustainable.
Months 18-24: award decisions, tenant onboarding, and material positioning
- Lease and operator awards: award the first contractor lease and operating packages for GOCO yards, module campuses, and selected support sites once readiness gates are met.
- Prototype and test decisions: review pod, gun, module, and control-space prototype progress and lock which systems are mature enough for early flight use versus which remain stop-gap or later-block insertions.
- Material-on-hand rule: require DLA and approved suppliers to hold the critical baseline shipset, campus-tooling, and construction-material inventory needed for the first real production wave.
- Workforce transition: shift from academy setup to apprentice intake, instructor assignment, and tenant hiring against actual lane activation dates.
- Readiness gate: by the end of Month 24 the program should have real ship engineering, real yard designs, active cleanup and construction, awarded operator paths, active state partners, active schools, and long-lead material flow established.
Execution rule: this 24-month block is the bridge between concept and production. If engineering, site control, cleanup, DLA positioning, workforce ramp, and operator contracting are not all moving together, the later fleet schedule is not credible.
Phasing Highlights (From Ship Building Chronology)
Visual build/block/refit board: Visual Shipbuilding Chronology.
2029-2033: FFG lead phase and Block I to Block II transition
Sequencing is intentionally FFG-first: no active FFG inventory today and this is the fastest/lowest-cost path to restore escort and ASW density.
Documented details
- FFG is the lead class; CAG follows; DDG follows after.
- Initial years expand FFG lane count progressively toward 16 lanes.
- 2030-2032 readiness gates include Mk 45 Mod 4/Mk 41 VLS and ASROC certification staging.
2034-2036: CAG Block I then DDG Block I start
CAG scales second to restore cruiser-level command/flag capability as Tico-era capacity retires; DDG remains deferred to a later phase.
Documented details
- CAG starts with transitional propulsion fallback if Odyssey is not yet ready.
- DDG entry is intentionally delayed while Flight III Burke and Zumwalt capability remains adequate in the near term.
- Lane growth first favors FFG and CAG before DDG late-ramp activation.
2037 and beyond: refit activation and block cadence through 2052
Refits start by 2035. DDG large-scale production is pushed later, after FFG and CAG goals are substantially met.
Documented throughput targets
- Current site model uses a year-specific ramp with peak annual starts of 6 FFG, 6 DDG, and 3 CAG depending on year.
- Refit cycles are five-year based, with fallback systems preventing build stoppages.
- No vessel should go beyond seven years without major refit in the long-range model.
- Refit throughput rule: standard refits use a 90-day authorized planning window with a 74-day work schedule and 16-day delay/rework margin; major refit is an exception that may take longer. CAG refit planning baseline remains 2 active lanes with surge margin available.
Scheduling Principles (Document Rules)
Frigate-first sequencing is explicit in multiple source documents
The program starts with FFG to address immediate frigate/ASW shortfalls, then scales into CAG and DDG classes.
Maximum of three major new technologies per flight/block
This is repeatedly stated in your outline and chronology as the risk-control rule for technology insertion.
Fallback systems are required when a new technology is not ready
Examples in source text: Mk 45 Mod 4 until Trinion is qualified, Mk 41 VLS IWM compatibility path while Mk 57 PVLS missile certification/production scales, and shaft/rudder until Odyssey pod readiness.
Class and technology details are expanded in Ships and Tech.
Detailed chronology source: chronology-summary.md
Pricing Timeline and Contracting Gates
Proposal-layers cost model: pricing control is phased with design maturity and production scale, not assumed on day one.
2026-2028: Design freeze and lead-ship pricing discipline
- Contracting posture: separate R&D from production, enforce no-change-after-steel-cut, and score yards on schedule/cost/quality gates.
- Pricing approach: lead-ship and early-flight should-cost baselines with strict variance reporting.
- Technology approach: current-tech stop-gaps remain mandatory to prevent concurrency-driven cost growth.
2029-2034: Multi-year procurement and economic order quantity phase
- Contracting posture: expand common-shipset buys (sensors, power, consoles, launch infrastructure) across classes.
- Pricing approach: combine block buys with EOQ for common systems to reduce unit volatility.
- Governance approach: quarterly VPS scores drive option exercise, workshare growth, or work transfer.
2035 and beyond: steady-state build plus refit economics
- Contracting posture: modernization by module replacement within five-year refit rhythm.
- Pricing approach: convert modernization spikes into forecastable recurring lines.
- Risk control: keep maximum three major new technologies per block and preserve fallback systems until qualification.
Cost governance references: Chapter 12, Contractor Points Matrix, and Chapter 14.
Retirement Gates (Verified Inputs)
Cruiser gate (CG-47 / Ticonderoga)
- CRS (updated January 16, 2026) states the Navy began retiring the remaining 22 CGs in FY2022 and had planned to retire all 22 by end FY2027.
- Navy press release dated November 4, 2024 extends three cruisers: Gettysburg (CG-64), Chosin (CG-65), and Cape St. George (CG-71), adding cumulative service life from FY2026 to FY2029.
- Planning implication: CAG must scale in the FY2030-FY2034 window to avoid a cruiser-command gap.
Destroyer gate (DDG-51 / Burke) and next DDG timing
- CRS RL32109 (updated December 5, 2025): Flight I/II DDG-51 ships generally have 35-year ESL, with retirements beginning in the late 2020s; some are certified to 40 years.
- Navy press release dated October 31, 2024 extends 12 Flight I destroyers, adding 48 cumulative ship-years in the 2028-2035 timeframe.
- CRS IF11679 (updated January 16, 2026): first DDG(X) procurement remains planned for the early 2030s (FY2032 in FY2025 plan projections), but program path has uncertainty due reported BBG(X)-related policy questions.
- Planning implication: DDG can remain third in sequence, but DDG ramp must be ready before Flight I/II retirement wave accelerates in the 2030s.
Lane Allocation Clarifier
Why chronology can look like 15-20 ships/year
The chronology board mixes cumulative qualified lane capacity and delivered-hull totals. Qualified lane counts are not equivalent to simultaneously active new-build lanes.
- Early ramp (2030): build-heavy posture.
- Mid-program (2040-2050): FFG/CAG completion with DDG in late ramp.
- Post-goal phase (2051+): refit-heavy posture after 100/70/30 force objective is complete.
- CAG specificity: planning baseline is 2 active CAG refit lanes; no timeline line should imply 5 active CAG refit lanes without declared surge conditions.
See the explicit build-vs-refit lane table in Visual Shipbuilding Chronology.
Dossier Baseline Delivery Sequence (Reference)
Historical 2026-2028 dossier sequence (superseded)
This historical lead-up is preserved for provenance only. It is superseded by the current production schedule, which begins in 2029 and runs without skipped years through 2052.
Rebalanced production objective model (current planning view)
- Current chronology board is now driven by an exact user-directed annual-rate profile (Year 1 through Year 15 plus hold), not a capped target-only profile.
- Current shifted schedule ends in 2052 with 102 FFG, 70 DDG, and 28 CAG, totaling 200 delivered ships.
- The two-year implementation delay is incorporated in the current year-by-year chronology.
- Rationale: DDG comes last because Burke Flight III and Zumwalt capability remains acceptable in the near term.