Program Economics
Macro affordability framing, assumptions, and risk controls.
Open Cost and Affordability ChapterAffordability, yard investment, hull economics, and program funding controls.
Macro affordability framing, assumptions, and risk controls.
Open Cost and Affordability ChapterFunding packages, lane buildout logic, and recovery mechanisms by yard model.
Open Shipyard Expansion DetailReview matrices and timeline/capability checkpoints tied to funding decisions.
Open Points MatrixThis section answers the industrial-capital question directly: how much the yards cost, where the money goes, and how the program expects to recover or offset that investment over time.
| Yard Type | Baseline Capital Cost | Primary Recovery Mechanism | Program Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOCO Major Yards | ~$5.0B each / ~$15.0B total | Lease and use revenue from contractor operations over long service life | Heavy-build capacity, competition, long-life federal industrial assets |
| GOGO Yards | ~$1.0B each / ~$4.0B total | Not primarily lease-driven; return is mission-readiness value | Sovereign repair depth, Pacific and CONUS sustainment, reduced strategic vulnerability |
| COCO Yards | Up to $500M each / ~$2.5B-$5.0B total exposure | Loan repayment at program rate over time | Commercial throughput, more lanes, lower entry friction, private-yard expansion |
| State Module Campuses | Up to about $300M in core capital per module campus | State/federal split lease-rent recovery for 10 years or until initial public capital is recovered | Brownfield cleanup, distributed production, stockpile support, regional job growth |
Financial reading: the gross industrial outlay is large, but it is not all one-way spending. GOCO and COCO have explicit recovery channels, state module campuses have a defined 10-year lease/rent recovery rule, and GOGO investment is justified through sovereign-capacity return and lower hull cost rather than direct cash return.
This is the main financial comparison block for the three TriSeadon combatants. Historical analogs, current U.S. comparators, and the TriSeadon planning case are kept here so affordability logic stays in one place.
Comparator figures are preliminary public-source snapshots and must be normalized to common-year dollars, procurement scope, learning curve, and quantity before decision use. See the source register.
These are program planning objectives, not independent cost estimates or promised prices. They exclude any category not expressly included in the underlying model and require Navy, CAPE, CBO, GAO, and shipyard validation.
| Class | TriSeadon Financial Baseline | Historical / Role Analog | Current U.S. Comparator | TriSeadon Target Cost Logic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FFG | 500 ft x 66 ft x ~10,000 tons | Perry is the role ancestor, but it is too small to use as a modern cost proxy. | FFG-62 is roughly 7,800-8,000 tons and budgeted around $1.2B-$1.3B for follow-on hulls, with the lead ship around $1.5B. | TriSeadon claims similar or lower recurring cost despite larger size through mature subsystems, DLA buying power, and nationwide module pre-outfitting. |
| DDG | 650 ft x 88 ft x ~15,000 tons | Burke is the lineage reference; DDG(X) is the nearest planned U.S. size analog. | Flight III Burke is about 9,700 tons and about $2.7B each; DDG(X) is planned around 14,500 tons at about $3.3B by Navy estimate and about $4.4B by CBO estimate. | TriSeadon stays near Burke cost only if it buys growth margin in hull steel while reusing proven radars, launchers, and powerplant families. |
| CAG | 800 ft x 108 ft x ~32,000 tons | Ticonderoga is the mission analog; Zumwalt is the nearest modern U.S. cost warning case. | Ticonderoga was about 9,600 tons and roughly $1B in then-year dollars; Zumwalt averaged about $4.3B procurement unit cost per ship. | TriSeadon only reaches a ~$4.5B-$5.0B steady-state claim if the hull is large but conventional and genuinely new systems are phased in by flight rather than all at once. |
Bottom line: the affordability argument is that disciplined design control, parallel yard capacity, DLA-centered procurement, and nationwide modular production can make a larger fleet more cost-effective than today's fragmented path.
Open Baseline Lock Sheet | Open Earned Program Continuity | Open Decision Brief