Access by Need

What Cost Reviewers Usually Ask

Cost Structure Paths

Scorecards and Comparisons

Review matrices and timeline/capability checkpoints tied to funding decisions.

Open Points Matrix

Yard Cost and ROI

This section answers the industrial-capital question directly: how much the yards cost, where the money goes, and how the program expects to recover or offset that investment over time.

Gross yard-capital picture
  • 3 major GOCO yards: about $5.0B each, or about $15.0B total in federal capital for site control, remediation, heavy waterfront buildout, utilities, labs, and commissioning reserve.
  • 4 existing GOGO yards: about $1.0B each, or about $4.0B total, for modernization, cleanup, training support, and one large TriSeadon lane per yard. The added TriSeadon spaces are intended for underused or recoverable yard areas so current submarine, carrier, overhaul, and decommissioning work is not interrupted. Recovery is expected through the lowest recurring cost per completed hull rather than direct lease revenue.
  • COCO/private-yard expansion: up to $500M per yard, or about $2.5B-$5.0B depending on how many yards take the package. This is primarily federal loan exposure rather than pure grant outlay.
  • 50-state state module-campus activations: up to $300M in core capital per campus built around up to $150M state share matched by up to $150M federal funds, with additional assistance available through hazmat, learning, union, VA, and related programs. State and federal shares split contractor lease/rent streams for the first 10 years, or until the initial public capital is recovered.
How the program expects to recoup money
  • GOCO recovery: the government owns the yard and leases operating space, lanes, labs, and industrial capacity to contractors. The site baseline elsewhere in the project assumes long-term lease/use revenue as the recovery stream.
  • COCO recovery: private yards repay the federal loan package over time at 3% over 20 years after a Year-1 startup holiday.
  • State module-campus recovery: state and federal shares split contractor lease/rent streams for the first 10 years, or until the initial public capital is recovered. After that, the state receives 100% of contractor lease/rent streams.
  • Indirect recovery: lower recurring ship cost, higher throughput, reduced brownfield drag, stronger tax base, and preserved sovereign repair capacity are treated as real return even when they do not show up as a direct lease payment.
What is and is not true ROI here
  • GOCO and COCO: these have actual financial recovery channels through lease income and loan repayment.
  • GOGO: these are not primarily revenue assets. Their return is mission readiness, sovereign repair depth, battle-damage recovery, avoidance of higher future recapitalization costs, and the least expensive cost per completed hull.
  • State and module campuses: these sit in the middle, because part of the return is financial and part is industrial-policy return through remediation, jobs, stockpile depth, and distributed manufacturing resilience.
  • Bottom line: the site should not imply every dollar comes back as cash. The stronger claim is that part of the program is directly recoverable and the rest buys long-life strategic capacity that the Navy is currently paying for inefficiently through delay, redesign, and shortage.
Yard Type Baseline Capital Cost Primary Recovery Mechanism Program Return
GOCO Major Yards ~$5.0B each / ~$15.0B total Lease and use revenue from contractor operations over long service life Heavy-build capacity, competition, long-life federal industrial assets
GOGO Yards ~$1.0B each / ~$4.0B total Not primarily lease-driven; return is mission-readiness value Sovereign repair depth, Pacific and CONUS sustainment, reduced strategic vulnerability
COCO Yards Up to $500M each / ~$2.5B-$5.0B total exposure Loan repayment at program rate over time Commercial throughput, more lanes, lower entry friction, private-yard expansion
State Module Campuses Up to about $300M in core capital per module campus State/federal split lease-rent recovery for 10 years or until initial public capital is recovered Brownfield cleanup, distributed production, stockpile support, regional job growth

Financial reading: the gross industrial outlay is large, but it is not all one-way spending. GOCO and COCO have explicit recovery channels, state module campuses have a defined 10-year lease/rent recovery rule, and GOGO investment is justified through sovereign-capacity return and lower hull cost rather than direct cash return.

Ship Cost and Comparative Summary

This is the main financial comparison block for the three TriSeadon combatants. Historical analogs, current U.S. comparators, and the TriSeadon planning case are kept here so affordability logic stays in one place.

Planning assumptions and cost drivers
  • FFG planning assumption: 500 ft OAL x 66 ft beam x about 10,000 tons full load, intentionally larger than today's Constellation so the hull can carry a quieter ASW-biased machinery layout, larger mission volume, and future growth margin.
  • DDG planning assumption: 650 ft OAL x 88 ft beam x about 15,000 tons full load, above current Flight III Burke weight and broadly in the DDG(X) size band.
  • CAG planning assumption: 800 ft OAL x 108 ft beam x about 32,000 tons full load, deliberately moving into heavy-cruiser scale for larger VLS volume, command spaces, aviation stability, and the Trinion gun system.
  • Recurring cost logic depends on DLA bulk-buy leverage, module-campus pre-outfitting, reduced redesign churn, shared combat-system families, and controlled block upgrades instead of class-by-class reinvention.
Historical and current comparators

Comparator figures are preliminary public-source snapshots and must be normalized to common-year dollars, procurement scope, learning curve, and quantity before decision use. See the source register.

  • FFG historical role analog: the Perry class is a mission ancestor, but it was much smaller and is not a meaningful modern cost comparator.
  • Current FFG comparator: FFG-62 Constellation is roughly 7,800-8,000 tons full load, with follow-on FY2026 procurement around $1.2B-$1.3B each and the lead ship around $1.5B.
  • DDG historical/current line: Burke is the direct destroyer lineage reference. Flight III Burke is about 9,700 tons full load and currently around $2.7B per ship.
  • DDG future comparator: DDG(X) is planned around 14,500 tons, with Navy estimates around $3.3B average per ship and CBO estimates around $4.4B average per ship.
  • CAG historical role analog: Ticonderoga is the mission analog, but at about 9,600 tons full load it is far smaller than the TriSeadon CAG.
  • CAG modern warning case: Zumwalt/DDG-1000 averaged roughly $4.3B procurement unit cost per ship and shows what happens when too many new systems are front-loaded into one hull.
TriSeadon target recurring cost case

These are program planning objectives, not independent cost estimates or promised prices. They exclude any category not expressly included in the underlying model and require Navy, CAPE, CBO, GAO, and shipyard validation.

  • FFG (10,000 tons): about $1.25B early, trending toward about $1.0B-$1.1B once the yard network stabilizes.
  • DDG (15,000 tons): about $2.5B early, trending toward about $2.0B-$2.2B if mature launchers, radars, turbines, and generators are reused instead of repeatedly redesigned.
  • CAG (32,000 tons): about $6.0B early, trending toward about $4.5B-$5.0B if the ship remains a large but mostly conventional hull with phased technology insertion by flight.
  • The planning hypothesis is not that larger ships are inherently inexpensive. It is that common standards, stronger supplier depth, controlled redesign, and reduced class-unique churn may improve lifecycle value. The hypothesis must be tested through independent estimating.
Class TriSeadon Financial Baseline Historical / Role Analog Current U.S. Comparator TriSeadon Target Cost Logic
FFG 500 ft x 66 ft x ~10,000 tons Perry is the role ancestor, but it is too small to use as a modern cost proxy. FFG-62 is roughly 7,800-8,000 tons and budgeted around $1.2B-$1.3B for follow-on hulls, with the lead ship around $1.5B. TriSeadon claims similar or lower recurring cost despite larger size through mature subsystems, DLA buying power, and nationwide module pre-outfitting.
DDG 650 ft x 88 ft x ~15,000 tons Burke is the lineage reference; DDG(X) is the nearest planned U.S. size analog. Flight III Burke is about 9,700 tons and about $2.7B each; DDG(X) is planned around 14,500 tons at about $3.3B by Navy estimate and about $4.4B by CBO estimate. TriSeadon stays near Burke cost only if it buys growth margin in hull steel while reusing proven radars, launchers, and powerplant families.
CAG 800 ft x 108 ft x ~32,000 tons Ticonderoga is the mission analog; Zumwalt is the nearest modern U.S. cost warning case. Ticonderoga was about 9,600 tons and roughly $1B in then-year dollars; Zumwalt averaged about $4.3B procurement unit cost per ship. TriSeadon only reaches a ~$4.5B-$5.0B steady-state claim if the hull is large but conventional and genuinely new systems are phased in by flight rather than all at once.

Bottom line: the affordability argument is that disciplined design control, parallel yard capacity, DLA-centered procurement, and nationwide modular production can make a larger fleet more cost-effective than today's fragmented path.

Funding Discipline Controls

Baseline Lock: no capability changes after production award; improvements are routed to the next hull, lot, flight, or scheduled refit.
Supply Control: DLA-led procurement with civilian counterpart competition.
Sequenced Class Logic: shared engineering and industrial preparation support FFG-first, CAG-second, and DDG-third hull production while lane activation is phased to actual demand.
Government Execution Capacity: acquisition, engineering, configuration control, cost analysis, intellectual-property counsel, contracting, DLA demand planning, cybersecurity, classification, test, inspection, and secure-data management are explicit funded program elements rather than unfunded collateral duties.
Earned Continuity: verified program-level performance supports a minimum viable Navy production and sustainment request, while mature items move to legally authorized multiyear, block-buy, advance-procurement, or economic-order-quantity structures. Contractor points allocate funded work but cannot appropriate money.
Interruption Cost: any proposed pause, major rate reduction, replacement, or termination must disclose the replacement plan, fleet gap, cancellation and restart costs, supplier and workforce loss, environmental obligations, and foregone lease and industrial ROI before decision.
Stage Gates: release of funds tied to readiness, throughput, and schedule metrics.

Open Baseline Lock Sheet | Open Earned Program Continuity | Open Decision Brief